
cold front confidence wanes
Confidence in that cold front we’ve been waiting for is waning as warm temps continue.
Today we stay in the low-mid 90’s, and that trend will continue through the weekend. A few showers/storms will be possible today, then we’re dry Saturday, and another chance of a few storms passes through Sunday (all in the afternoon). Winds will also crank up Sunday, with more windy conditions expected Monday.
That front was initially expected to arrive Monday, but now it’s looking like it could be Tuesday/Wednesday before it arrives. At this point, there isn’t solid certainty it will move through, so I will be watching trends to see if models start really moving that direction. Any late summer/early fall front is subject to doubt, but it was (and still is) my hope that this one has enough of a push to bring it down. For now, I have us in the mid-upper 80’s starting Wednesday. Our updated drought monitor map shows abnormally dry conditions creeping in from the west and southwest, so we could use the rain as well.
I’ll continue to bring updates as new data sets arrive.