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rain chances continue - for now…

Rain chances increase over the next few days, but then dry up as high pressure takes over.

A cluster showers is already moving northward from the Waco area, and will bring more cloud cover with it. That should help us stay cooler than expected today as highs reach the mid-upper 80’s. More scattered showers and thunderstorms will be possible later today, though may not as widespread or intense as expect if we do indeed stay cooler. Tomorrow we have more possible showers/storms in the afternoon. Both days won’t really have timelines - it will depend on when/where storms develop. Highest coverage will be from 2-3 pm until sunset.

A low pressure system will eject northeast out of Mexico this weekend, bringing more widespread rain to our area. It still looks like the highest coverage of rain will be later in the day, but rain may come in waves. We may see a few showers in the morning (can’t say yet what time it starts), but the bulk of the rain will likely arrive Saturday afternoon/evening (again, no timeline yet). Rain will continue overnight into Sunday (again, could be off and on), and then that system moves out later in the day Sunday. Just how quickly it will move out is uncertain, so it’s hard to say when the rain will end. Severe weather is not a great concern this weekend, but there may be a marginal risk assigned if 60 MPH winds and quarter size hail become more likely. Tornadoes are not expected to be a factor. Flooding may be an issue in areas that get repetitive/persistent downpours.

More sporadic showers/thunderstorms will be possible Monday before high pressure arrives to start shutting it down. I still have a low chance of a stray shower or two Tuesday afternoon before we stay dry Wednesday. From there, it’s a matter of seeing how long that ridge of high pressure sticks around before another storm system can bump it east and bring more rain.