
low rain chances as temperatures stay warm
We have rain chances in the forecast, but temperatures will remain warm (even as they gradually cool).
Today we’ll be in the low-mid 90’s with modest south winds. A few showers/thunderstorms may pop-up this afternoon/evening, so if you get one - or even just the rain-cooled air from one - that might chip a few degrees off your afternoon high temperature. South wind will be modest, so an air quality alert is in place. If we get more showers, that will help mix up the air and curb that air quality issue. Speaking of air quality, high ragweed continues…so take care of yourself!
Isolated afternoon showers will remain possible through midweek as temperatures remain in the low-mid 90’s. The forecast really stays about the same through Wednesday.
Thursday a cool front moves toward North Texas. I don’t think we’ll get much from it other than more clouds, which should help bring temperatures down a degree or two. Any rain will likely stay north. As the front stalls, that will bring better chances of rain (though still low at this point). That stalled boundary may bring a disturbance or two, but those are very hard to predict at this point. I have modest rain chances in place for now, which may go up as we get closer and can get more confident in the forecast. I do think we’ll see temperatures down in the low 90’s through that period.
There are signals of cooler weather coming, maybe even in time for the Fall equinox on Monday. It’s still far enough out to not have any confidence in, so I’ll be watching models to see what to include in tomorrow’s 7-day forecast. You all know I try to manage expectations, so I’m going to try not to include anything too crazy - especially since we all have seen how many cold fronts look impressive a week out, but then become much less so as we get closer. Stay tuned!