a forecast with more sun, and more storms

In what is honestly a much more forgiving forecast than we’ve seen in a while, we will get more sun and some storms - followed by cooler temperatures.

The rain moved out this morning after bringing flooding rains to much of our area overnight. We should stay mostly dry the rest of the day, except for a few possible showers/storms this evening. This activity is not expected to be severe or near as widespread as last night’s system. It looks like a handful of showers will pass through from the south - if they make it up here. Otherwise we’ll be partly sunny today with highs around 80°. Winds will shift back to the southwest, but should remain light. Overnight we’ll cool into the mid 60’s.

Tomorrow and Tuesday will be storm-free with increasing southerly winds. Tomorrow we’ll be in the low 80’s, but warmer Tuesday in the mid-upper 80’s. Overnights will be in the upper 60’s to around 70°. Unfortunately, muggy conditions will continue. I will note that we’re watching a storm system that will bring severe weather to the central plains on Monday, but I don’t expect that activity to reach this far south. I’ll keep an eye on things in case that changes and we have to add storm chances to tomorrow’s outlook.

Wednesday we get back into storm mode Wednesday as a cold front approaches later in the day. We’ll still warm up to the mid 80’s with gusty south winds before the front approaches and sparks storms in the afternoon/evening hours. It’s a little early to talk about specific timing, so we’ll have to get closer for that. It does look like this could be a severe weather event, so stay tuned for more updates on that as well in the next couple of days.

Thursday’s forecast is a bit more conditional. The good news is the front will bring cooler temps and drier air, but what remains to be seen is if the front will stall…and if it does, where. For now I have us getting the drier northeast winds, but a 30% chance of storms to accommodate for the potential of a stalled front. We should get a better idea on that, too, as we get closer.

Don’t jinx it, but next weekend looks quite pleasant as we head towards Mothers Day. Highs in the mid-upper 70’s and mostly sunny skies are on tap for Friday and Saturday. Let’s all keep thinking positively and praying for this pattern to hold so we can finally get a pleasant weekend!

Forecast Updated 1:30 am, 5.5.24

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